Yes, the college game was amazing Saturday night here in Austin, but there’s also IMN’s HELOCs & Second Liens event. The markets know that it is a hot topic. Do “the markets” care about a $40 trillion U.S. deficit? Yes. Does any politician seem able to curb spending, or be elected to do it? Not […]
Selling continues to be the path of least resistance for the bond market. Open interest data from Treasury futures suggests Friday's "short-covering" assessment may not be the only story. Reason being: open interest moved HIGHER (it would be much easier to conclude short-covering drove the move if open interest was lower). The counterpoint is that […]
AM Rally Completely Erased By The Close This morning's paradoxical rally lasted 30 whole minutes. Bonds turned around at exactly 9am and proceeded to completely erase the AM gains. There were no compelling macro motivations for the reversal apart from a modest rise in oil prices. While oil price lows and highs perfectly matched bond […]